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Middle East Conflicts and The Possible Shocks in LDCs
The military strikes on Iran by the U.S. and Israel have immediately upended global energy markets. Given the timing, occurring over the weekend, the full market reaction will manifest when Asian trading opens on Sunday, March 1, 2026. As a result, Iran has already shut down Strait of Hormuz movements. 1. Impact on Oil and Gas Prices: The primary driver of price volatility is the Strait of Hormuz , which handles approximately 20% of global petroleum and LNG. Crude Oil (Brent)
M. Zakir Hossain Khan
5 hours ago8 min read


Land Use Land Cover Change of Mymensingh District and Lessons Learned
Over the past three decades, Mymensingh’s landscape has been quietly but profoundly reshaped. Fields have expanded, settlements have surged, and once-abundant waterbodies and green spaces have steadily disappeared. This position paper traces those changes from 1990 to 2024, revealing how everyday decisions about farming, housing, and land conversion are collectively altering the district’s ecological foundations. What emerges is not a distant environmental concern, but a stor
Research Division
Jan 181 min read


Review of Energy and Power Sector Master Plan (EPSMP 2025) Draft
This position paper assesses whether the draft EPSMP 2025 advances energy sovereignty by reducing long‑term exposure to external shocks, enables a just energy transition that ensures equity, community stewardship, and intergenerational justice, and aligns with Natural Rights‑Led Governance by grounding energy decision‑making in nature’s sovereignty, rights of nature, integrity, and accountable, peaceful governance. Read Our Position Paper This paper outlines our institutional
Research Division
Jan 131 min read


Recovery - Driven Microcredit to Transformative Investment
Microcredit is one of Bangladesh’s most widely recognized development innovations. It expanded access to finance for millions of people, particularly women, who were excluded from the formal banking system. For decades, it played a meaningful role in poverty reduction. But Bangladesh today is not the Bangladesh of the 1980s or 1990s. The economy now faces a very different set of risks: persistent inflation, income volatility, repeated climate shocks, and mounting pressure on
M. Zakir Hossain Khan
Jan 134 min read


Bonn to Belém: Three Decades of Promises, Half-Delivered Justice, and Rights-Based Governance Is Now Inevitable
COP30 in Belém is not just another annual climate meeting; it is the 32-year report card of the world governance architecture that was conceived at the Rio Earth Summit of 1992. And that is what report card says: delivery has been sporadic, cosmetic and perilously disconnected with the physics of climatic breakdown. The Amazon, which was once regarded in Rio as an ecological miracle of the world, is now on the verge of an irreversible precipice. Even the communities that stru
M. Zakir Hossain Khan
Jan 125 min read


জ্বালানি নিরাপত্তা ও বিদ্যুৎ সাশ্রয়ে ৭০টি সরকারি কার্যালয়ে রুফটপ সোলার: সম্ভাবনা ও চ্যালেঞ্জ
ভূমিকা: বাংলাদেশ সরকারের ২০৩০ সালের মধ্যে মোট বিদ্যুতের ২০ শতাংশ নবায়নযোগ্য উৎস থেকে উৎপাদনের লক্ষ্যমাত্রা অর্জনে ‘জাতীয় রুফটপ সোলার কর্মসূচি’ একটি যুগান্তকারী পদক্ষেপ। এই কর্মসূচির ‘উদ্যোগ ক’ বা সরকারি দপ্তর ক্যাটাগরির আওতায় বিদ্যুৎ বিভাগের সুপারিশে মন্ত্রিপরিষদ বিভাগের অধীন ৭০টি বিভাগীয় কমিশনার ও জেলা প্রশাসকের কার্যালয়ে রুফটপ সোলার স্থাপনের একটি বিশেষ পরিকল্পনা গ্রহণ করা হয়েছে। ২২ কোটি টাকা বাজেটের এই প্রকল্পটি মূলত সরকারি প্রতিষ্ঠানগুলোতে সৌরবিদ্যুতের ব্যবহার বাড়িয়ে প
M. Zakir Hossain Khan
Jan 1, 20263 min read


When nature’s rights are violated, nature events become disasters.
Author: M. Zakir Hossain Khan Originally published in: Chang e Initiative This article is republished for archival and informational purposes. All rights remain with the original publisher.
M. Zakir Hossain Khan
Dec 23, 20251 min read


COP30 Outcomes Through the Lens of Natural Rights-Led Governance
COP30 is typically viewed as a roadmap for climate finance and action, but this position paper highlights it as a big step toward rights-centered climate governance. Drawing on the Natural Rights-Led Governance (NRLG) framework, we show how COP30's emphasis on human rights, Indigenous rights, land rights, traditional knowledge, and viewing ecosystems as more than just carbon sinks that lines up with NRLG's core ideas like rights for nature, accountability, justice, protecting
Research Division
Dec 21, 20251 min read


COP30 must mark the end of Climate Debt
At the heart of these debates is M Zakir Hossain Khan , a prominent climate-finance expert whose newly published Climate Debt Risk Index reveals how climate-vulnerable nations are being pushed deeper into debt through loan-heavy climate funding. His organisation will host a press conference on the findings on Climate Debt Risk on 15 November, followed by a high-level dialogue on Natural Rights-Led Governance (NRLG) on 17 November. Khan is an Independent Observer of the Climat
M. Zakir Hossain Khan
Dec 13, 20256 min read


Open Dialogue on: Redirecting Nordic Investment: From LNG to Renewables in Bangladesh
Change Initiative, in collaboration with ActionAid Bangladesh. This open dialogue confronts the "Nordic Paradox," where global climate leaders inadvertently finance fossil fuel lock-ins in Bangladesh. We analyze the severe economic and social costs of LNG dependence, exemplified by the stranded Rupsha Power Plant and FSRUs in Moheshkhali. These projects have triggered massive forex drains and devastated local economies, displacing thousands of families dependent on salt and f
Research Division
Dec 10, 20251 min read


Does Vehicular Growth Affect Dhaka’s Air Quality? Evidence fromTime - Series Analysis
This report investigates how the rapid rise in Dhaka’s vehicle population is shaping the city’s worsening air quality, using a decade of monthly data and advanced time-series models to untangle both short- and long-term effects. Drawing on datasets from BRTA, DoE, and BMD, it shows that motor vehicles and cargo transport are major long-run drivers of pollution, while winter weather patterns sharply intensify particulate concentration. The analysis reveals that rainfall and mo
Research Division
Nov 26, 20251 min read


Transformative Dialogue on Natural Rights Led Governance (NRLG): A Pathway to Planetary Justice and Inclusive Earth Governance
Natural Rights Led Governance (NRLG) is a call to restore balance between people and the planet. It is rooted in the belief that nature possesses inherent rights just as humans do to exist, thrive, and regenerate. NRLG challenges the conventional model of governance that treats nature as property and resources as commodities. Instead, it envisions a governance system founded on respect, reciprocity, and responsibility where every policy, investment, and institution aligns wit
Research Division
Nov 17, 20251 min read


Press Conference at COP30 - Global Dissemination of CLIMATE DEBT RISK INDEX 2025 (CDRI’25) JUSTICE IN THE BALANCE: Advancing Equity and Justice in LDC Finance.
The Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 (CDRI’25) unveils the uncomfortable truth that nations least responsible for climate change now shoulder its greatest financial burdens, forced to borrow for survival in a world that owes them reparations. Bridging data and justice, CDRI’25 exposes how loan-heavy climate finance deepens inequality across 55 vulnerable economies and redefines climate debt as a moral and legal obligation under the emerging paradigm of * Natural Rights-Led Gover
Research Division
Nov 16, 20251 min read
![Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief & the Rise of Natural Rights Led Governance | Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 [Global Report]](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/842627_b1277e4994284db9b7a4313162b30564~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_333,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_avif,quality_auto/842627_b1277e4994284db9b7a4313162b30564~mv2.webp)
![Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief & the Rise of Natural Rights Led Governance | Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 [Global Report]](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/842627_b1277e4994284db9b7a4313162b30564~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_avif,quality_auto/842627_b1277e4994284db9b7a4313162b30564~mv2.webp)
Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief & the Rise of Natural Rights Led Governance | Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 [Global Report]
The Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 (CDRI’25) unveils the uncomfortable truth that nations least responsible for climate change now shoulder its greatest financial burdens, forced to borrow for survival in a world that owes them reparations. Bridging data and justice, CDRI’25 exposes how loan-heavy climate finance deepens inequality across 55 vulnerable economies and redefines climate debt as a moral and legal obligation under the emerging paradigm of *Natural Rights-Led Governa
Research Division
Nov 16, 20251 min read


Global Stakeholder Consultation - Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 (CDRI'25) JUSTICE IN THE BALANCE: CLIMATE DEBT RELIEF AND THE RISE OF NATURAL RIGHTS LED GOVERNANCE
At COP30, Change Initiative hosted the Global Stakeholder Consultation on the Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 (CDRI’25) bringing together LDC leaders, government representatives, Indigenous voices, youth advocates, and climate finance experts from across the world. The consultation highlighted a shared and urgent message: Climate impacts are intensifying debt crises in countries that contributed the least to global emissions. CDRI’25 evidence and ground-level testimonies reaffi
Research Division
Nov 14, 20251 min read


RIO TO BELÉM - Confronting the Climate Governance Paradox through Natural Rights Led Governance (NRLG)
The article “Confronting the Climate Governance Paradox through Natural Rights Led Governance (NRLG)” exposes the failures of global climate finance and the rise of “climate colonialism.” It calls for a shift to NRLG, a framework that recognizes nature’s inherent rights and promotes justice, equity, and regeneration over debt-driven development. Relevant Documents Download Article
Research Division
Nov 13, 20251 min read
![Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief & the Rise of Natural Rights Led Governance | Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 [Bangladesh, Country Report]](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/842627_d08b55ca48a144d8b81ec51914d337ec~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_333,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_35,blur_30,enc_avif,quality_auto/842627_d08b55ca48a144d8b81ec51914d337ec~mv2.webp)
![Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief & the Rise of Natural Rights Led Governance | Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 [Bangladesh, Country Report]](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/842627_d08b55ca48a144d8b81ec51914d337ec~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_avif,quality_auto/842627_d08b55ca48a144d8b81ec51914d337ec~mv2.webp)
Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief & the Rise of Natural Rights Led Governance | Climate Debt Risk Index 2025 [Bangladesh, Country Report]
The CDRI - 02 (2025): Bangladesh Report tells a powerful story about Bangladesh’s struggle to survive climate disasters while being pushed into debt to pay for its own recovery. It shows how a system meant to help vulnerable nations has instead created a cycle where resilience comes at the cost of borrowing, leaving people and public budgets under pressure. The report calls for a fundamental shift in climate finance from loans to grants so that countries like Bangladesh can p
Research Division
Sep 24, 20251 min read


Roundtable Discussion on Justice in the Balance: Climate Debt Relief and the Rise of Natural Rights-Led Governance Climate Debt Risk Index 2025
The CDRI - 02 (2025) : Bangladesh Report tells a powerful story about Bangladesh’s struggle to survive climate disasters while being...
Research Division
Sep 20, 20251 min read


Bangladesh's NDC - 3.0: Pathways for Ambition, Action, and Finance
The NDC 3.0 study is crucial for Bangladesh to enhance its climate ambition in line with global targets, particularly focusing on the energy sector and renewable energy deployment. As Bangladesh faces severe climate vulnerability, an upgraded NDC can integrate both mitigation and adaptation strategies to secure a sustainable and resilient future. The study will provide a data-driven framework for setting more ambitious emission reduction targets, leveraging renewable energy a
Research Division
Sep 14, 20251 min read


Bangladesh's NDC - 3.0: Pathways for Ambition, Action, and Finance
Bangladesh’s NDC 3.0 – Ambition or Stagnation? Every climate promise must be stronger than the last. If we keep repeating the same weak...
Research Division
Sep 13, 20251 min read


Bangladesh's NDC - 3.0: Pathways for Ambition, Action, and Finance
The NDC 3.0 study is crucial for Bangladesh to enhance its climate ambition in line with global targets, particularly focusing on the energy sector and renewable energy deployment. As Bangladesh faces severe climate vulnerability, an upgraded NDC can integrate both mitigation and adaptation strategies to secure a sustainable and resilient future. The study will provide a data-driven framework for setting more ambitious emission reduction targets, leveraging renewable energy a
Research Division
Sep 13, 20251 min read


Dhaka Without Nature? Rethinking Natural Rights Led Urban Sustainability
Once celebrated for its natural charm, Dhaka now stands at a critical juncture overwhelmed by relentless urban sprawl and ecological decay. This study traces the city's transformation from 1980 to 2024 through satellite imagery, land use analysis, and Land Surface Temperature (LST) trends, uncovering a dramatic decline in nature’s presence. Over this period, Dhaka lost nearly half of its tree cover, 60% of its waterbodies , and 56% of grass and agricultural land , while built
Research Division
Jul 27, 20251 min read


Dhaka Without Nature? Rethinking Natural Rights Led Urban Sustainability
Dhaka Without Nature? Rethinking Natural Rights Led Urban Sustainability Dhaka, once a city of natural beauty, now stands at a...
Research Division
Jul 26, 20251 min read


Addressing Cross Border Plastic Pollution in Bangladesh’s Bay of Bengal
Every day, thousands of tonnes of plastic waste flow into Bangladesh’s rivers and coastlines, carried from upstream neighbors and washing ashore in fragile ecosystems like the Sundarbans mangrove forest. This relentless tide of pollution chokes waterways, endangers fisheries that feed millions, and threatens the health of coastal communities. The problem crosses borders, demanding more than national efforts — it calls for bold regional cooperation, corporate responsibility, a
Research Division
Jun 8, 20251 min read
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